1.COVID-19感染症潜伏期間は平均5日（2～14日） 2.紹介「新型コロナウイルス PCR検査って何？」（スライド） 3.北京市症例の死亡率は0.9％と低い 4.喫煙歴はコロナ肺炎の最大の悪化因子：オッズ比14

●オッズ比 ・喫煙歴　14.285 ・年齢　8.546 ・入院時の最高体温　8.999

潜伏期間　平均5日間（95％信頼度で2〜14日間）　検疫期間14日間 Our results show that the incubation period falls within the range of 2–14 days with 95% confidence and has a mean of around 5 days when approximated using the best-fit lognormal distribution. The mean time from illness onset to hospital admission (for treatment and/or isolation) was estimated at 3–4 days without truncation and at 5–9 days when right truncated. Based on the 95th percentile estimate of the incubation period, we recommend that the length of quarantine should be at least 14 days.

原作：守屋 章成　https://www.facebook.com/moriya.akinari/posts/3032166170178767 スライド作成：山下 貴史 https://www.facebook.com/takashi.yamashita.921/media_set?set=a.2759665554110820&type=3